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  poll results

Tennessee Survey

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from March 16 through March 18, 2000. A total of 626 voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges were utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or racial grouping.

SAMPLE FIGURES:

Men 306 (49%)
Women 320 (51%)

Whites 534 (85%)
Blacks 88 (14%)
Other 4 (1%)

REGION

East Tennessee 230 interviews
Middle Tennessee 223 interviews
West Tennessee 173 interviews

QUESTION: Now I want to talk about National Forest lands. To the best of your knowledge, are industrial activities like logging and mining allowed in National Forests? (Is that definitely allowed/not allowed or probably allowed/not allowed?)

STATE
DEFINITELY ALLOWED 18%
PROBABLY ALLOWED 22%
PROBABLY NOT ALLOWED 26%
DEFINITELY NOT ALLOWED 14%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 20%

MEN
DEFINITELY ALLOWED 27%
PROBABLY ALLOWED 21%
PROBABLY NOT ALLOWED 25%
DEFINITELY NOT ALLOWED 13%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 14%

WOMEN
DEFINITELY ALLOWED 10%
PROBABLY ALLOWED 22%
PROBABLY NOT ALLOWED 27%
DEFINITELY NOT ALLOWED 15%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 26%

EAST TN
DEFINITELY ALLOWED 16%
PROBABLY ALLOWED 21%
PROBABLY NOT ALLOWED 30%
DEFINITELY NOT ALLOWED 15%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 18%

MID TN
DEFINITELY ALLOWED 22%
PROBABLY ALLOWED 25%
PROBABLY NOT ALLOWED 19%
DEFINITELY NOT ALLOWED 14%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 20%

WEST TN
DEFINITELY ALLOWED 15%
PROBABLY ALLOWED 20%
PROBABLY NOT ALLOWED 29%
DEFINITELY NOT ALLOWED 13%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 23%


QUESTION: In fact, these activities ARE allowed on National Forest lands. Given this, do you support or oppose allowing logging, mining, and other industrial activities on National Forest lands? (Is that strongly support/oppose or somewhat support/oppose?)


STATE
STRONG SUPPORT 5%
SW SUPPORT 19%
SW OPPOSE 18%
STRONG OPPOSE 50%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 8%

MEN
STRONG SUPPORT 7%
SW SUPPORT 23%
SW OPPOSE 23%
STRONG OPPOSE 44%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 3%

WOMEN
STRONG SUPPORT 4%
SW SUPPORT 15%
SW OPPOSE 14%
STRONG OPPOSE 55%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 12%

EAST TN
STRONG SUPPORT 8%
SW SUPPORT 14%
SW OPPOSE 19%
STRONG OPPOSE 53%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 6%

MID TN
STRONG SUPPORT 4%
SW SUPPORT 22%
SW OPPOSE 17%
STRONG OPPOSE 49%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 8%

WEST TN
STRONG SUPPORT 3%
SW SUPPORT 22%
SW OPPOSE 18%
STRONG OPPOSE 46%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 11%



QUESTION: National Forest lands in the United States total 192 million acres. Currently, 18% of these lands are permanently protected from logging and other development. Given this, do you think the U.S. has too much, not enough, or about the right amount of permanently protected land in our National Forests?

STATE
TOO MUCH 6%
NOT ENOUGH 39%
ABOUT RIGHT 42%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 13%

MEN
TOO MUCH 8%
NOT ENOUGH 41%
ABOUT RIGHT 40%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 11%

WOMEN
TOO MUCH 5%
NOT ENOUGH 37%
ABOUT RIGHT 43%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 15%

EAST TN
TOO MUCH 7%
NOT ENOUGH 38%
ABOUT RIGHT 43%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 12%

MID TN
TOO MUCH 5%
NOT ENOUGH 39%
ABOUT RIGHT 40%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 16%

WEST TN
TOO MUCH 6%
NOT ENOUGH 40%
ABOUT RIGHT 44%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 10%



QUESTION: Currently, 10% of the land in Tennessee National Forests are permanently protected from logging and other development. Given this, do you think Tennessee has too much, not enough, or about the right amount of permanently protected land in its National Forests?

STATE
TOO MUCH 4%
NOT ENOUGH 43%
ABOUT RIGHT 39%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 14%

MEN
TOO MUCH 7%
NOT ENOUGH 43%
ABOUT RIGHT 41%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 9%

WOMEN
TOO MUCH 2%
NOT ENOUGH 43%
ABOUT RIGHT 37%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 18%

EAST TN
TOO MUCH 8%
NOT ENOUGH 41%
ABOUT RIGHT 37%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 14%

MID TN
TOO MUCH 1%
NOT ENOUGH 47%
ABOUT RIGHT 39%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 13%

WEST TN
TOO MUCH 3%
NOT ENOUGH 41%
ABOUT RIGHT 41%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 15%


QUESTION: Half of the National Forest lands in the U.S. have already been logged, mined, have roads and remain open to commercial development. An additional 18% are permanently protected, and the remaining 31% are unprotected wild road-less areas. The Clinton administration has proposed to protect nearly all of these remaining unprotected wild areas. This means that they could be used for most types of recreation, including hunting, camping and fishing, but that logging, new roads, mining, oil drilling and off-road vehicles would be prohibited. Do you support or oppose this proposal? (Is that strongly support/oppose or somewhat support/oppose?)

STATE
STRONG SUPPORT 52%
SW SUPPORT 20%
SW OPPOSE 9%
STRONG OPPOSE 8%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 11%

MEN
STRONG SUPPORT 51%
SW SUPPORT 16%
SW OPPOSE 14%
STRONG OPPOSE 10%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 9%

WOMEN
STRONG SUPPORT 53%
SW SUPPORT 23%
SW OPPOSE 5%
STRONG OPPOSE 6%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 13%

EAST TN
STRONG SUPPORT 57%
SW SUPPORT 13%
SW OPPOSE 7%
STRONG OPPOSE 10%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 13%

MID TN
STRONG SUPPORT 52%
SW SUPPORT 21%
SW OPPOSE 10%
STRONG OPPOSE 7%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 10%

WEST TN
STRONG SUPPORT 45%
SW SUPPORT 28%
SW OPPOSE 10%
STRONG OPPOSE 7%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 10%


QUESTION: What if you learned that included in this proposal would be protection for up to 31% of National Forest lands in Tennessee -- or about 228 thousand acres -- which would still stay open for hunting, camping and fishing? Then would you support or oppose the proposal? (Is that strongly support/oppose or somewhat support/oppose?)

STATE
STRONG SUPPORT 46%
SW SUPPORT 30%
SW OPPOSE 5%
STRONG OPPOSE 7%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 12%

MEN
STRONG SUPPORT 48%
SW SUPPORT 27%
SW OPPOSE 8%
STRONG OPPOSE 10%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 7%

WOMEN
STRONG SUPPORT 44%
SW SUPPORT 32%
SW OPPOSE 2%
STRONG OPPOSE 5%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 17%

EAST TN
STRONG SUPPORT 45%
SW SUPPORT 29%
SW OPPOSE 3%
STRONG OPPOSE 8%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 15%

MID TN
STRONG SUPPORT 46%
SW SUPPORT 31%
SW OPPOSE 8%
STRONG OPPOSE 6%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 9%

WEST TN
STRONG SUPPORT 47%
SW SUPPORT 30%
SW OPPOSE 4%
STRONG OPPOSE 7%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 12%


QUESTION: Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for your Representative in Congress if he or she supported this proposal? (Is that much more/less or somewhat more/less?)

STATE
MUCH MORE LIKELY 32%
SW MORE LIKELY 31%
SW LESS LIKELY 7%
MUCH LESS LIKELY 3%
NO DIFFERENCE 17%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 10%

MEN
MUCH MORE LIKELY 33%
SW MORE LIKELY 32%
SW LESS LIKELY 5%
MUCH LESS LIKELY 4%
NO DIFFERENCE 19%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 7%

WOMEN
MUCH MORE LIKELY 32%
SW MORE LIKELY 30%
SW LESS LIKELY 8%
MUCH LESS LIKELY 2%
NO DIFFERENCE 15%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 13%

EAST TN
MUCH MORE LIKELY 33%
SW MORE LIKELY 23%
SW LESS LIKELY 7%
MUCH LESS LIKELY 2%
NO DIFFERENCE 21%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 14%

MID TN
MUCH MORE LIKELY 32%
SW MORE LIKELY 35%
SW LESS LIKELY 6%
MUCH LESS LIKELY 3%
NO DIFFERENCE 16%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 8%

WEST TN
MUCH MORE LIKELY 30%
SW MORE LIKELY 37%
SW LESS LIKELY 8%
MUCH LESS LIKELY 5%
NO DIFFERENCE 13%
NOT SURE/REFUSED 7%

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